THE WORSE CASE SCENARIO IN EKPENYONG VS AKPABIO
I won’t lie to you. I won’t also allow you to be lied to. The truth is that almost everyone that approaches a competent court of law has a line of argument and a point of law to backup. It’s a lie if anyone tells you that Senator Akpabio is joking in court. Do not also believe it when they tell you that Senator Akpabio will have to weigh options as an indecisive market woman, whether he wants to be Minister or Senator.
I have taken the pains to read Senator Akpabio’s arguments in court. I have also made time to go to court myself to listen to his lawyer, S. I. Ameh, SAN. Ameh is a lawyer that knows his onions. However, he is wrestling another titan called Solomon Umoh, SAN. It’s a clash of the titans.
No one can determine for the court of law. But if you follow the lines of arguments, you can determine for yourself what will be the worse case scenario.
INEC says Senator Chris Ekpenyong won Akwa Ibom North West Senatorial District with 118,215 votes against Senator Akpabio’s 83,158 votes. Senator Akpabio said INEC did not collate his votes in Essien Udim. He says he had more than 61,000 votes in Essien Udim alone. The court admits his claim but leaves him with the burden of proof.
Senator Akpabio told the court he has the authentic results for Essien Udim and applied for the permission to tender his purported result. When the court granted his prayers, Senator Akpabio brought about 115 polling units results out of 159 polling units results recognised by INEC. INEC says the results from Senator Akpabio has been compromised, affirming with several witnesses that election in Essien Udim was marred by violence and irregularities. Senator Akpabio says there were irregularities but insists he won the election.
It’s left for the court to determine who is saying the truth between INEC and Senator Akpabio. What the onlooker can determine is that Senator Akpabio is not contesting the results from other Local Governments apart from Essien Udim. Akwa Ibom North West Senatorial District has ten Local Governments and Senator Akpabio won in only two on these ten Local Governments. Senator Akpabio seems to agree but insists that he had more votes from Essien Udim than what INEC announced. He wants the court to order INEC to recognise the results from Essien Udim that he has tendered in court. He believes the votes from Essien Udim will give him an edge over Chris Ekpenyong when added to the ones he has from the other nine Local Governments of the Senatorial district, but how correct is he?
Simple arithmetic. Your calculator could be helpful at this point.
INEC says Senator Akpabio has a total of 83,158 votes with 6241 votes in Essien Udim while Senator Chris Ekpenyong scored 118,215 votes with 3422 votes in Essien Udim. Senator Akpabio’s only contention seems to be with Essien Udim’s result. If you minus the 6241and 3422 Essien Udim votes which is in dispute, Senator Akpabio’s votes will stand at 76,917 votes while Senator Ekpenyong’s votes will stand at 114,793 votes.
Although Senator Akpabio claims he had about 61,000 votes, the court can only judge from the evidence before her. Senator Akpabio’s 115 units results as tendered in court by his lawyers show that Senator Akpabio has about 36,000 votes in Essien Udim(not 61,000 votes as claimed) while Senator Ekpenyong has about 10,000 votes. INEC and the PDP have made cogent points too to falsify the about 36,000 votes as Essien Udim polling units results.
Even in a worse case scenario that the court choses to rule in favour of Senator Akpabio, Akpabio would still not be Senator. This is because if you add the about 36,000 votes as tendered before the court as Akpabio’s polling units results to his 76,917(being Akpabio’s undisputed result without Essien Udim’s), Senator Akpabio’s total votes will stand at about 112,917 votes while Senator Ekpenyong’s votes will at be about 124,793 votes ( that is when you add the about 10,000 votes from Essien Udim that polling units results as presented in court by Akpabio’s people as Ekpenyong’s result).
So, in the worse case scenario, will the court rule that Akpabio’s claimed 112,917 votes is greater than Ekpenyong’s 124,793( being the approximate figure from Akpabio’s people as presented in court)? God forbid.